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Ricky
Cassiday has developed the most functional database
of real estate transactions for analyzing the
residential market across the state of Hawaii. The data
draws upon both public and private data sources
(realtor, developer and tax assessment), and goes back
to 1985, encompassing 2 major market cycles. It
encompasses all islands and all residential property
types, including leasehold, for the following market
segments:
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Single
family, primary, affordable (income restricted) and
resort housing;
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Home
site sales, primary, agricultural and resort;
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Condominium
for-sale housing, primary, restricted (age and
income) and resort;
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Condominium
rental housing, primary, restricted (age, income,
and profession, i.e., military end-user), investor
and resort;
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Condotel
units, timeshare units, and hotel room units;
Builder parcels, individual and bulk; and
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Master
Plan Community sales and development, primary and
resort.
He
has produced over 160 different studies (project
feasibility, pricing programs, absorption projections,
marketing strategy, product development, market entry
and positioning) as well as long-term demand forecasts
and models for specific markets and master planned
developments.
His
work has informed every major Hawaiian developer,
financing institution, residential design firm and most
landowners and construction companies. He has been a
featured public speaker at the Hawaii Developer’s
Council, the ULI Hawaii Chapter, the Society of
Corporate Planners, Hawaii State Association of
Counties, the Hawaii Association of Mortgage Brokers,
the BIA Hawaii chapter, Association of Realtors for all
the islands plus numerous private groups (including his
annual resort residential client gathering, plus MBA
Income Property Committee, Investment committee).
He has been quoted in the Wall Street Journal, New York
Times, San Francisco Chronicle, and Inman News.
Over
15 years ago, Cassiday began collecting new home sales
information directly from developers for Gentry Homes,
as well as buyer demographics and psychographics. He provided
senior management and colleagues with colleagues with
quantitative data on the reservations, closings, pricing
and inventory in the new homes market, as well as
related data for the resale market. He continued that
work with Castle & Cooke, Prudential Locations
research & Consulting and then on his own.
Today,
the practice is focused only on the residential market,
and can be broken down as follows:
-
A
90%/10% split between private and public agencies
(including the US Army, US Navy, State of Hawaii,
and Hawaii Housing Development Corp.):
-
A
55%/45% split between Hawaiian and Offshore based
clients;
-
A
40%/60% split between primary and secondary/investor
target markets;
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A
72%builder/17% lender/11% research aggregator split
amongst end-users; and
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A
57%Oahu/18% Big Isle/11% Kauai/10% Maui/4% Statewide
split amongst the islands.
There
have been over 100 specific study clients, the top five
of which were DH Horton, Stanford Carr, Centex,
Alexander & Baldwin and Hearthstone Advisors (23% of
the work was concentrated in these five). In essence, he
provides third party outside validation and verification
to private and public entities.
The
scope of work ranges from market entry by a national
builder, master plan validation for zoning applications,
market validation for property acquisition, product
planning and development research, specific unit
pricing, project absorption forecasting and market
positioning and marketing messages. Some of the
specifics addressed in his work include the regulatory
and political environment vis-à-vis product and
project, the product design vs. construction cost issue,
and the marketing and sales channel opportunities and
pitfalls.
It
draws on the principal's 15 years in the residential
development business, as well as his father’s and
family's (seven generations) of owning land (Niu Valley,
Kilauea, Kauai), supplying building materials and
contracting (Iolani Palace, the Moana Hotel) and
developing residential communities (Royal Kunia,
Mililani, Ewa by Gentry).
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Paul
Richard Kaunahoakalani Cassiday, Jr. (Ricky)
was born on Oahu in 1952. He grew up in Niu Valley, land
given to his great great grandfather, Alexander Adams,
by Kamehameha the Great for services to the crown (
Adams led an expeditionary force against Russian
colonialists on Kauai, started the sandalwood trade for
the king, designed the Hawaiian flag, and was the first
harbor master of Honolulu).
Ricky attended Hawaii Preparatory Academy, graduated
from Punahou and entered University of Hawaii, where he
was an occasional student, due to an intense passion for
surfing. From 1970-1974, he made surfboards, surfed in
professional and amateur contests (and was ranked #2,
Hawaii Surfing Association, Men¹s Division 1973) and
marketed several surfing movies in Hawaii and
California. Tired of suffering for art, he transitioned
out of surfing by transferring out of UH and into George
Washington University, not known for it¹s beach culture.
On the other hand, it was great for getting involved
with politics, and he worked part-time for Hawaii
Congressman Cecil Heftel.
Upon graduation, he took a job in England at HandMade
Films, a joint venture for producing original English
entertainment of George Harrison, OBE, and Monty Python.
Over the next five years, the company produced or
distributed over a dozen films, including MONTY PYTHON¹S
LIFE OF BRIAN. After the partnership disbanded, he
returned to Washington DC to work in public relations
(Hill & Knowlton, and the Heritage Foundation) before
returning to Georgetown University to take a master¹s
degree (Master of Science, International Relations).
In 1985, he went to the Philippines for a summer
internship at the Tokyo Institute for Policy Studies,
which is how he met his future wife, Maite Brias. In
1986, they got married and he moved to Menlo Park, CA to
do market research in the electronics field. In 1990,
they moved to Hawaii, where he continued doing market
research (expanding into consumer research and
competitive intelligence) for housing developers and a
residential housing consulting firm. In 1997, he went
out on his own, first focused on Oahu real estate and
then on the other islands. In the last decade, he has
done over 200 market analysis and project feasibility
studies for over 100 clients.
He is also a trustee for the Mary Lucas Estate (2006+),
which has several hundred acres on the north shore of
Kauai. Prior to that, he was a trustee of the Henry Luce
III trust (1985-2007).
Other than collecting good data and providing accurate
summaries, he has a good sense of the qualitative
aspects of the real estate market. In that, he owes
thanks to his parents. His father, Paul Cassiday, was
well-known in the business community for his work on
large-scale resort and housing developments (Kaanapali,
Whaler¹s Village, Princeville, Ko Olina and Kapolei for
both Amfac and the James Campbell Estate). His mother
was well known for interior design and decoration, with
a number of houses that were featured in national
publications (from a beach house at Malaekahana in
Sunset Magazine in 1960 to a summer home on Fisher¹s
Island, NY in Architectural Digest in 1985).
He has been blessed by great mentors, supporters and
friends (Clare Boothe Luce, Derek Taylor, Bob Panero,
Harry Saunders, Jimmy Pflueger, Howard Hamamoto, Harvey
Goth, Walter Hahn, Tom Zimmerman, Stanford Carr).
He is a member of the Hawaii Developer¹s Council, the
Urban Land Institute, the Outrigger Canoe Club, the
Manila Polo Club and the Pacific Club. His wife, Maria
Teresa Brias, is from the Philippines, where her family
has a beachfront residential development, Bamboo Beach,
outside of Manila in Batangas. Their oldest son, Joey
Manahan is a member of the State Legislature,
representing the Kalihi district, and their youngest two
sons are matriculating in college and high school. |
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